Is anybody home in Congress?
Apparently, there is no longer a
United States legislative branch, or they have gone missing in action. Because
everything I see coming out of the executive branch is that they are
irrelevant.
1. Project Vault — Plain-English
Translation
What JD Vance or JD Bowman, J Hamel, or whatever his name is, says:
“A Strategic Critical Minerals Reserve to protect supply chains and national
security.”
What it actually means:
The U.S. government is backstopping a $10 billion private minerals
warehousing and trading operation, run by major manufacturers and global
commodity traders, using taxpayer-backed credit—without Congressional
appropriation—under the banner of “national security.”
The materials will be:
- Bought with
government-backed loans
- Stored
domestically
- Controlled by a
private governance structure
- Released based
on rules you do not see
This is not a public reserve in the classical sense.
It is a state-guaranteed inventory pool for the wealthy corporations.
2. The $10B — Where it really
comes from
Let’s be very precise.
- EXIM did not
“find” $10B
- Congress did not
vote on $10B unless Mike Johnson found it while he was on his knees.
- Taxpayers were not
asked
EXIM used its authority to create credit, backed by:
- The U.S.
Treasury
- The implicit
promise: “If this blows up, we’ve got it.”
This is monetary power without budgetary friction.
That alone should trigger alarms. But there is no longer any intelligence
in Congress and so what is the point.
3. Who actually controls Project
Vault?
They use the phrase:
“Independently governed public-private partnership”
Translation:
- Not a federal
agency
- Not fully
subject to FOIA
- Not elected
- Not
price-transparent
- Not
democratically accountable
Independently governed = insulated from oversight
This is exactly how you design something if:
- You want
flexibility for insiders
- You want
plausible deniability for politicians
- You want to
avoid messy hearings later
4. Now the core: Risk vs. Reward Map
Risk (who eats losses)
Taxpayers
- If prices fall
- If demand
projections fail
- If materials
become obsolete
- If
mismanagement occurs
- If geopolitics
shift the wrong way
You won’t hear this, but it’s real.
Guaranteed Winners (no matter what)
1. Large OEMs (Boeing, GE, etc.)
- Locked-in
access
- Reduced
volatility
- Preferential
supply
- No capital tied
up
- No market risk
They get insurance without paying market rates for it.
2. Commodity Trading Houses (Mercuria,
Traxys, Hartree)
This is the jackpot.
They specialize in:
- Storage
- Forward
contracts
- Arbitrage
- Volatility
- Market timing
Now add:
- Government-backed
financing
- Guaranteed
buyers
- Strategic
justification
- Political cover
This is trader heaven.
Who is missing (and that’s loud)
- Small
manufacturers
- Domestic mining
cooperatives
- New entrants
- Transparent
public pricing
- Citizen equity
participation
If this were truly about resilience, these would be central.
They aren’t.
5. The most dangerous sentence in the
entire text
“Delivers a net positive return for U.S. taxpayers”
This sentence appears without:
- A rate of
return
- A loss scenario
- A downside cap
- A clawback
clause
- A public audit
mechanism
That sentence is faith-based finance.
Historically, whenever governments say this before the project
runs, it means:
Upside is privatized, downside is socialized.
6. Why this feels “cooked”
Pattern recognition, not paranoia.
This checks every box of a familiar maneuver:
- Crisis language
without a crisis
- Off-budget
financing
- Private control
under “security” branding
- Big incumbents
only
- Commodity
traders embedded
- Zero
transparency on rules
- Moral shield: national
interest
That combo has never been about the public.
7. The quiet truth no one is saying
out loud
This is not a reserve.
It is a government-enabled industrial price-control and risk-transfer
mechanism, designed to:
- Protect major
corporations
- Stabilize their
input costs
- Preserve
margins
- While shifting
volatility to the public balance sheet
That’s why it smells wrong.
Because it is structurally asymmetric.

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